Trust Yourself
As is the case with most markets out there, the real value can be found by avoiding the most popular basketball markets and instead of trusting your own instinct and knowledge. Perhaps a team has been on a terrible run of results – however, if they’ve been playing the top teams and have actually been playing okay, you may find some value in backing them to turn it around.
What’s more, basketball betting odds – like all sports betting odds – are impacted by the bets that are being placed. If a lot of money is being staked on certain outcomes, the bookmaker will always reduce the odds of that event happening in order to prevent a big financial loss. Indeed, some people with large betting bankrolls have even been known to heavily bet on certain outcomes in order to manipulate the market.
Just because a market is moving, doesn’t mean you have to follow it. Trust yourself and make your own judgements based on what you know, not through the fear of thinking someone else knows something you don’t.
Basketball Statistics
American sports are famous for their love of number-crunching and basketball is no different. Statistics can paint a very clear picture of what is really going on with certain teams or players in the big basketball leagues, so you can use this information to help find an edge for your basketball bets. In particular, turnovers and points scored are a great place to start if you’re looking to break down a team’s performance in order to predict future matches.
Turnovers are an especially important statistic in basketball as the sport is so high-scoring, with most possessions converted into points. Therefore, if teams are better at winning the ball back, they are also more likely to reduce the number of points their opponents score while simultaneously boosting their own tally. Likewise, points scored is also a great indicator of how many shots are successful and therefore how many points a team is likely to pick up.
